NFL Prop Preview: Interception Leaders For Quarterbacks

With Sam Howell out of the way in D.C., there will be a new interception leader in 2024

July 26, 2024 163 3 minutes readNFL Picks & Parlays

Sam Howell may be a back-up for the Seattle Seahawks, but it doesn’t mean his old city won’t be able to defend their “crown” with rookie Jayden Daniels behind center in Washington.

The oddsmakers agree, placing Daniels as a co-favorite (+800) along with the Buffalo Bills’ Josh Allen to throw the most picks in 2024. They’re followed closely by rookie quarterback Tennessee Titans.

Let’s go deeper into our NFL player prop interception leader to see if there is someone else with a future wager or has the “winner” has already been mentioned.

Josh Allen Favored For a Reason

This doesn’t reflect on Josh Allen’s skill as a signal caller for the Buffalo Bills; instead, it wagers against rookie quarterbacks who are more likely to be yanked from a game or two due to performance or injury.

We know that Allen is the starter in Buffalo, and as long as he’s healthy, the majority of snaps will come his way.

Washington may start co-favorite Jayden Daniels, but with veterans Marcus Mariotta and Jeff Driskell backing the rookie up, you can bet there will be a time when new head coach Dan Quinn will not turn to his veterans.

Last season, Allen threw the most interceptions in his career (18) in 579 attempts (5th), second only to Howell. The defense sacked the seventh-year quarterback just 24 times, so the offensive line wasn’t the problem, and third-year back James Cook ran for over 1,100 yards, so it wasn’t due to a lack of a running game either.

It was easier to count the weeks that Allen didn’t throw an interception (3) than when he did (14), including the playoffs.

Then factor in the pressure from the detractors who question whether Allen can lead the Bills deep into the postseason, and you see a gunslinger determined to quiet the critics with new faces on offense. It seems like a recipe to cash an interception prop.

Caleb Williams Will Have To Prove Us Wrong

It’s nothing personal, but we have never thought that the Bears Caleb Williams (+1000) would make a good pro. There were numerous examples at USC where the words “that won’t fly in the NFL” came out.

You can’t cry after losses in the arms of your parents or act like an adolescent after things don’t go as you drew it up in practice. Williams may mature into a reliable pro, but we only need him confused for one season, and he appears confused early on.

Reports from camp say Williams is having problems adjusting to NFL defenses, specifically in the red zone. He reportedly has been good when it’s been seven on seven, but in 11 on 11 drills inside the 20, that’s where Williams has struggled while adjusting to edge rushers.

Our NFL player prediction for Williams is that he’ll struggle to throw more touchdowns than interceptions.

Let’s Take Mathew Stafford at +2000 as our long-shot Interception Wager

When analyzing the NFL player prop interception leader list, it’s clear the oddsmakers are picking on the rookie, which they should if they play enough.

We suggest putting most of your focus on the veterans who will play the most, like we did with Josh Allen. The Los Angeles Rams Mathew Stafford fits in the category with a solid payout.

In 2023, Stafford threw 11 interceptions in 15 games and has always hovered around that one-pick game mark over the last three seasons, with 36 in his previous 41 starts.

Camp started with Stafford and the Rams coming to a contract agreement after what looked like the veteran may hold out. He wasn’t the only one with multiple key players sitting out of the first practice or not bothering to show. That’s not a great start for a team that looks to climb the NFL team standings in the NFC West.

We predict that Stafford will be in the mix to throw the most picks if the Rams don’t show improvement under Stafford, who is 12-12 as a starter since winning the NFL spread selections.