Purdue vs Iowa Preview: Hawkeyes’ Offense Remains a Concern

Hawkeyes could be without QB Cade McNamara due to knee injury

October 2, 2023 1,476 3 minutes readNCAAF Picks & Parlays

Purdue vs Iowa Preview: Analyzing the Key Matchup Factors — Matthew Holst | Getty Images

With uncertainty at quarterback, the Iowa Hawkeyes will host the Purdue Boilermakers on Saturday (3:30 p.m. ET) in Big Ten Conference play.

Oddsmakers were quick to back the Hawkeyes, pricing them as 3.5-point favorites. That line is now down to -2.5 (-110), with the moneyline at -135. Conversely, Purdue is +2.5 (-110) and +115 to win outright. The projected total is 41 (-110 Over, -110 Under).

Read on as we break down both teams in our Purdue vs Iowa preview.

Date/Time: Saturday, 3:30 p.m. ET
Where: Kinnick Stadium; Iowa City, Iowa
Streaming: Peacock

Betting Trends

The Purdue Boilermakers are 2-3 against the spread this season and 2-5 over their last seven games. The total has gone Over in five of the Boilermakers’ previous seven games. Meanwhile, the Iowa Hawkeyes are 2-2-1 ATS this season. The total has gone Under in seven of their last 10 games, including five of the previous six against Purdue.

That’s important to when assessing the odds in our Purdue vs Iowa preview.

Injury Clouds Iowa’s Outlook

The Michigan State 26-16. The Hawkeyes outscored the Spartans 13-0 in the fourth quarter to rally and salvage a push on the 10-point spread. They also covered the projected point total of 36.5 in the process.

Tied 16-16, Cooper DeJean returned a punt 70 yards for a touchdown to put the Hawkeyes ahead for good with 3:45 remaining. They’re now 4-1 on the season, including 1-1 in Big Ten Conference play. With a manageable Wisconsin (Oct. 14) could certainly fight its way back in the mix.

As is usually the case, Iowa will need to step up offensively to make serious noise during bowl season. The Hawkeyes are averaging a modest 22.2 points through five games. But in their biggest test to date, Sept. 23 against Penn State, they managed only 76 yards and were shut out. Now, they are dealing with an injury to quarterback Cade McNamara.

Michigan transfer, who had completed 3 of 5 es for 46 yards, later appeared on crutches. Deacon Hill, a Wisconsin transfer, replaced McNamara and led Iowa to its first scoring drive.

Hill finished 11 of 27 with 115 yards, one touchdown and one interception. If Hill needs to take over for an extended stretch, Iowa will have an awfully difficult time competing with the top college football teams. Keep that in mind when analyzing the odds in our Purdue vs Iowa preview.

Signs of Progress for Purdue

The Purdue Boilermakers hammered Illinois 44-19 on Saturday to improve to 2-3 under first-year head coach Ryan Walters. A 1-point underdog, Purdue outscored the Fighting Illini 28-6 in the second half to cover the spread for the second time in five games this season. They also hit the Over (53.5) for the third time.

It was an encouraging bounce-back performance by Hudson Card. The Texas transfer completed 69.2% of his es for 217 yards and two touchdowns. More importantly, he did not toss an interception for the first time since Sept. 9. The Boilermakers also got 112 yards (5.3 yards per carry) and a touchdown on the ground from Tyrone Tracy Jr.

Not much is expected of Purdue. The Boilermakers were projected for just 5.0 wins. Getting there will be difficult, especially with Syracuse.

Walters has the Boilermakers are headed in the right direction. But it’ll take time for him to bring in his own recruits and fully implement his plan. Right now, the Boilermakers are still a lower-tiered Big Ten team.

Handicapping the Game

There’s a lot of uncertainty surrounding Iowa. McNamara’s injury seemed ominous. If he’s unable to go, Iowa may struggle to muster up much offense. They still should do enough to cover by a field goal, but his health is the main reason why this spread isn’t any larger.

If anything, the Under of 41.5 points is enticing.

For Point Spreads Sports Magazine.