Twins Vs Padres MLB Series: Hot Teams Play Rare Series in SD

MLB Odds Have San Diego Favored Versus Visiting Twins

August 19, 2024 361 5 minutes readMLB Picks & Parlays

Rookie Matthews Takes The Mound For The Underdog Twins in Series Opener

The Minnesota Twins and San Diego Padres have been two of the hottest teams in the majors and now the Twins vs Padres MLB series odds have host San Diego favored in the series opener.

Even though San Diego outscored Minnesota 12-10, it was the host Twins who won the most recent series back in 2023. San Diego hasn’t lost a home series to the Twins since 2014.

The teams have split six games over the last two seasons. Minnesota’s three wins have come by a total of six runs with the Padres outscoring the Twins 19-4 in the other three games.

When looking at the MLB scores today, San Diego is priced at -160 to win Monday’s opener with +135 odds for the Padres at -1.5 on the run line.
Minnesota has +135 odds to win the opener.
The Padres have -140 odds to win the series with the Twins offering solid value at +110 to take the series.
Speaking of value, there are +6000 odds for the Padres and the Twins to meet in the World Series.

A quick look at the MLB playoff picture reveals that San Diego holds down the top wild-card spot in the National League while Minnesota has played its way into playoff position in the American League.

The MLB World Series predictions have San Diego priced at +1600 to win the title for the first time with Minnesota at +1800 in the championship odds.

Records: Minnesota Twins (70-54), San Diego Padres (70-55)
Day/Time: Monday-Tuesday, 9:40 p.m. ET; Wednesday, 6:40 p.m. ET
Location: Petco Park, San Diego, CA
Streaming: Bally Sports Northwest, San Diego Padres Network, FS1 (Monday)

Twins vs Padres Probable Starting Pitchers

Monday: Zebby Matthews (Twins); Michael King (Padres)
Tuesday: Bailey Ober (Twins); Martin Perez (Padres)
Wednesday: Smith Woods Richardson (Twins); Matt Waldron (Padres)

Padres, Twins Coming On Strong

Since the MLB All-Star break, the Padres and the Twins are in the top 10 in the majors in slugging percentage with the Padres leading the National League with a .284 batting average.

The Padres are also second in the majors with a team ERA of 3.09 as the Padres’ 20 wins since the break are the most in the major leagues. The Twins are 11-6 in August as they have only lost one of their last five series. That could factor into the Twins vs Padres MLB series odds.

Starting pitchers Bailey Ober, David Festa, Pablo Lopez, and Zebby Matthews are a combined 9-2 for the Twins while the Padres starting pitchers are 11-4.

When looking at the Dodgers and are only three games back.

Four of Minnesota’s last five games have gone under the total.

Me?

For just the second time since he was traded for pitcher Pablo Lopez, Luis Arraez will face the team he broke into the majors with.

Arraez was 2-for-8 with a walk in three games against the Twins early last season in just his second series with the Miami Marlins following the trade.

He hit .314 in four MLB seasons with the Twins and won the 2022 American League batting championship with a .316 average. Keep that in mind when betting the Twins vs Padres MLB series odds.

He was traded to San Diego earlier this season and is batting .312 in 82 games. His .308 batting average in 119 games with the Marlins and the Padres is the best in the National League as he is eyeing a third consecutive batting title.

San Diego has seen four of its last six games land under the total.

Who’s Hot

Ryan Jeffers, Minnesota Twins C: Jeffers is 3-for-6 with two home runs and four RBIs in his last two games.
Michael King, San Diego Padres P: King has allowed two runs or less in seven of his last eight starts.
Jackson Merrill, San Diego Padres OF: Merrill is hitting .356 with 12 runs, nine extra-base hits, and 11 RBIs in his last 12 starts.
Bailey Ober, Minnesota Twins P: Ober is 4-0 with an ERA of 1.59 and 34 strikeouts in 34 innings in his last five starts.

Who’s Not

Kyle Higashioka, San Diego Padres C: Higashioka is 2-for-17 with eight strikeouts in his last seven games.
Caleb Thielbar, Minnesota Twins P: Thielbar has allowed two hits and four runs with two walks in 2.1 innings over his last three outings.
Matt Waldron, San Diego Padres P: Waldron has surrendered 14 hits, three home runs, and 12 runs in 10 innings in his last two starts.
Matt Wallner, Minnesota Twins OF: Wallner is 0-for-11 with five strikeouts in his last five games.

Twins vs Padres Injury Update

Shortstop Carlos Correa recently began running as he looks to return from a heel injury that has sidelined since July 12. Outfielder Byron Buxton, third baseman Brooks Lee, and pitcher Joe Ryan are also on the MLB injured list for the Twins.

Second baseman Ha-Seong Kim is questionable for the Padres while outfielder Fernando Tatis Jr. and pitcher Yu Darvish are out indefinitely.

Twins vs Padres Betting Preview

Minnesota is in the top 10 in the majors in batting average, runs, home runs, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. The Padres led the majors with a .266 batting average and 1136 hits so this could be a challenging series for the pitchers on both MLB teams.

San Diego is 25-21 as a home favorite with Minnesota 11-16 as a road underdog.

The Padres are just 25-36 against the run line at home. Minnesota has covered 33 of 64 road games.

The Padres are fourth in the National League with 66 games landing over the total with 27 of 46 MLB games as the home favorite going over the total. Minnesota is 10-17 against the run line as the road underdog.

There is almost no chance of rain in the forecast over the next three days so weather should not impact this series.

Fourteen of Minnesota’s last 19 games against National League teams have gone over the total. The total is at 7.5 for the series opener.

San Diego has won its last five home games while Minnesota is 5-2 in its last seven games. There might not be a team playing better right now than the Padres and it is hard to pick against the Padres in this series.

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