MLB: July 31st Weekly Home/Road Report

Road Teams Bounced Back With a 50-46 Week, Adding 8.54 Units to Our Bankroll

July 31, 2024 136 3 minutes readMLB Picks & Parlays

Blindly betting on home or road teams this season has not been good enough to turn a profit but the road reams have been much better with a 759-851 (.471, -26.85) record.

Betting home MLB teams is an excellent way to create a massive hole in your bankroll with a 46.03 unit deficit in 2024.

Road favorites are 315-251 (.557-16.30) while home favorites own a terrific 600-444 (.575) but we know that’s not good enough to turn a season-long profit (-40.39).

Home underdogs move closer to the black with 5.64 units lost behind a 251-315 (-4.44 units) record. That’s your season-long update, let’s break down the past seven days in your July 31st weekly home/road report.

Home Teams Blasted Bankrolls To End July

Last week, home teams were just 46-50 overall, pushing bettors further into the red in 2024 with 13.23 units lost.

Like with most reviews, the Detroit Tigers were both 1-4, costing the public 6.20 units. It’s safe to say that with bettors prone to wager on home favorites the books likely had a terrific week and upon further review that’s exactly what happened.

Over the previous seven days, home favorites with the higher percentages wagered on the moneyline were 33-31 with an 8.59 unit deficit, bitten by the Milwaukee Brewers (2-3, -1.62).

However, road teams fared much better when getting public with a 15-10 record while producing a small 0.39 unit profit. The betting public benefitted the most from backing road dogs with an incredible 8.42 units won with a 32-33 record.

The Oakland Athletics led the way with a 4-1 mark as a road dog (+3.86 units), followed by the New York Yankees (3-0, +3.44) and the Chicago Cubs (2-1, +1.83). Road teams packed 8.54 units into our bankrolls (50-46) overall.

We also like to track teams with big power numbers. We looked at the New York Mets (139) were a combined 8-8 (1.72 units), but were much better on the road with an 11-6 mark that handed bettors 6.42 units.

Another day, another @MarkVientos_5 home run! 💪 pic.twitter.com/YXiKFJV5Fm

— New York Mets (@Mets) July 31, 2024

Series Size Does Matter

Continuing our July 31st Weekly Home/Road Report: When we break down game numbers during a series we saw road teams thrive in games one and two over the previous week with a 31-30 record (+4.32 units).

This has turned out to be a solid trend in July with visitors turning a profit of 13.06 units behind a fairly impressive record of 108-110. This trend is a perfect example of why bettors need to follow current trends because this run in July isn’t a reflection of the entire season (-12.37 units).

The Miami Marlins (2-1, +2.55).

Overall in 2024, the Clevland Guardians lead the way with a 24-14 record (+11.36) while being challenged by the San Diego Padres (21-13, +10.51 units) and the Washington Nationals (19-19, +9.36).

Most people’s Baltimore Orioles, or the Cleveland Guardians.

Combined these clubs are 108-67 (.617) +28.63 units as visitors in games one and two of a series to give you an idea of how important this filter’s success is to a team’s chances of playing deep into October.

Diamondbacks Thrive In The Heat

We know that the Arizona Diamondbacks play indoors when it’s 100+ outside but when you dive into it, that doesn’t mean opposing teams aren’t affected before going to the park.

This week the Snakes were 5-1 playing in average temperatures of 85 degrees or more, 4-1 at Chase Field, and one win at Kansas City.

The Dodgers and the Chicago Cubs (7-1) and Cleveland Guardians (5-0) have benefitted from playing just 13 games in average temps over 85.

The Miami Marlins, who play indoors, are 15-17 (5-6 on the road), followed by the free MLB picks for today—all the bets with this week’s pick and parlays. This concludes our July 31st Weekly Home/Road Report.

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